UFC 329 — McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Jul 11, 2026 · T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada

· Main Card · MW · 3R

Robert
Whittaker

25-7-0 · #10 Ranked UFC Middleweight

VS

Nikita
Krylov

30-9-0 · #8 Ranked UFC Light Heavyweight

AI Fight Prediction · Stats Comparison · Full Fight Card

2026 AI Algorithm Prediction

ROBERT Win Probability NIKITA
62%
38%

Winner

Whittaker

Method

Unanimous Decision

Round

Full 3R

Whittaker Outstrikes Krylov

Whittaker's elite striking accuracy, footwork and fight IQ will allow him to outpoint Krylov over three rounds while avoiding the Ukrainian's dangerous grappling sequences.

Whittaker will look to keep the fight on the feet, using his quicker combinations and superior movement to stay out of range of Krylov's takedown attempts and heavy power shots. Krylov will likely press forward early to try to get the fight to the mat, but will struggle to cut off the cage against the former middleweight champion's slick footwork.

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Why This Fight Matters

Whittaker's Striking Edge

The former middleweight champion has far more polished striking than Krylov, with sharper combinations and better defense that will allow him to land consistently without taking heavy damage in return. His elite footwork also lets him control the distance of the fight, keeping Krylov from closing the gap to get the fight to the mat where he is most dangerous.

Krylov's Grappling Advantage

Krylov is a far more accomplished grappler than Whittaker, with elite takedown ability and a deep submission arsenal that poses a constant threat if he can get the fight to the ground. He also holds a notable reach advantage that he can use to close distance faster when looking to initiate clinch exchanges and takedown attempts.

Weight Cut Context

This fight marks Krylov's first drop down to middleweight from his usual light heavyweight division, creating questions over how his cardio and power will hold up across a full three round fight at the lower weight class. Whittaker is a long-time middleweight veteran who is completely comfortable competing at the weight, with no questions over his ability to fight at a high pace for the full duration of the bout.

Rankings Implications

A win for Whittaker will push him back into top contender status for the middleweight title, extending his already legendary run as one of the best 185-pound fighters of his generation. For Krylov, a win in his middleweight debut would immediately catapult him into the top of the division rankings, setting him up for an immediate title eliminator in his next bout.

Combat Stats Comparison

ROBERT Stat NIKITA
92
Punch Power
91
+4 ▲95
Punch Speed
91
+3 ▲95
Kick Power
92
+5 ▲92
Striking Defense
87
88
Grappling
+6 ▲94
90
Chin
Durability
89
92
Stamina
91
+9 ▲90
Fight IQ
81

Career Records

Robert Whittaker

Record25-7-0
Status#10 Ranked UFC Middleweight
Age36
Height6'0"
Reach73"
NationalityNew Zealand

A dynamic counter-striker with elite kickboxing fundamentals, capable of landing fight-ending power with both his hands and kicks while maintaining constant movement.

Nikita Krylov

Record30-9-0
Status#8 Ranked UFC Light Heavyweight
Age34
Height6'2"
Reach77"
NationalityUkraine

A powerful grappling specialist with heavy finishing ability on the feet and a dangerous submission game that has finished the majority of his professional wins.

How Each Fighter Wins

Robert's Path to Victory

  • • Keep the fight on the feet for all three rounds, using movement to avoid takedowns
  • • Mix in body kicks and straight punches to disrupt Krylov's forward pressure
  • • His signature left hook and high kick combination that has finished multiple top middleweights
  • • Outpoint Krylov over three rounds while avoiding dangerous grappling exchanges

Nikita's Path to Victory

  • • Land an early takedown and get Whittaker's back to lock in a fight-ending submission
  • • Use his reach advantage to land heavy overhand rights early to stun Whittaker before closing the distance
  • • His dangerous guillotine choke and rear-naked choke that have finished 20 of his professional wins
  • • Press forward constantly to cut off the cage and force Whittaker into unwanted grappling exchanges

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UFC 329 — McGregor vs. Holloway 2 — Full Fight Card

Fighter Profiles

FAQ

Who wins Robert Whittaker vs Nikita Krylov?

Robert Whittaker walks away with the win in this matchup, as his superior striking, movement and fight IQ will allow him to control the vast majority of the exchanges across three rounds. While Krylov has the power and grappling to pull off an upset if he can close the gap early, he will struggle to consistently land on the elusive former champion, who will pick him apart from range for the full duration of the fight.

When and where is UFC 329 — McGregor vs. Holloway 2?

This fight takes place at UFC 329 at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, one of the biggest fight cards of 2026 headlined by the massive rematch between Conor McGregor and Max Holloway. The card is stacked with top contenders across multiple divisions, making it one of the most anticipated UFC events of the year.

What is Robert Whittaker's record going into UFC 329?

Robert Whittaker holds a professional MMA record of 25-7-0, with notable recent wins over top middleweights including Paulo Costa, Marvin Vettori and Jared Cannonier. The former UFC middleweight champion is widely considered one of the greatest 185-pound fighters in the history of the promotion, with only two losses in the division coming against current champion Israel Adesanya.