UFC Freedom 250 · Jun 14, 2026 · White House, Washington DC

Lightweight · 3 Rounds · Main Card

MAURICIO
RUFFY

~11–0 · LW Rising Star

VS

MICHAEL
CHANDLER

~24–8 · "Iron Mike"

2026 AI Algorithm Prediction

RUFFYWin ProbabilityCHANDLER
32%
68%

Winner

Chandler

Method

TKO

Round

Round 2

Chandler Outclasses Ruffy

Mauricio Ruffy came out swinging with sharp, crisp stand-up that had Chandler on his heels early, but Iron Mike quickly adjusted by cutting off the cage and closing the distance to neutralize Ruffy's range. Chandler's elite grappling and heavier striking allowed him to dictate every moment of the fight, grinding Ruffy down until the TKO stoppage in Round 2.

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Round-by-round breakdown · Tactical commentary · Key factors

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Combat Stats Comparison

RUFFYStatCHANDLER
89
Punch
Power
+5 ▲94
90
Punch
Speed
+2 ▲92
79
Grappling
+8 ▲87
86
Striking
Defense
+1 ▲87
88
Stamina
+2 ▲90

How Each Fighter Wins

Ruffy's Path to Upset

  • • Use striking speed to land early and rock Chandler
  • • Keep the fight standing — avoid the wrestling exchanges
  • • Pressure Chandler with volume before he settles into his rhythm
  • • Capitalize early — Chandler's chin has been tested before

Chandler's Path to Victory

  • • Mix takedowns early to disrupt Ruffy's striking rhythm
  • • Use elite grappling (87 rating) to grind and tire Ruffy
  • • Land heavy punch combinations when Ruffy's defense drops
  • • Trust the experience gap — Chandler has seen everything at LW
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UFC Freedom 250 — Full Fight Card